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[Analysis] Baobab Choices #33 — First develop or democratize?

Reading time: 3 minutes


Policy · Revelation

Episode #33

Reminder of the dilemma

A — Accepting the Pact: accelerated development, freedoms suspended ten years.

B — Refuse to preserve democracy, even at the cost of slow development.


If you chose A

Choosing A is betting that material prosperity will eventually generate democracy, as in Singapore or South Korea. It's also admitting that an empty belly has no ear for rights speeches. But it is opening the door to an authoritarianism that, in Africa, has rarely returned power voluntarily.


If you have chosen B

Choosing B is to say that human dignity is not negotiated, even against roads and hospitals. This is to believe that public debate, free press and independent justice are themselves drivers of development. But it is also to look in front of mothers who bury their children for lack of care, asking them for patience.

This dilemma is the Gordian node of contemporary Africa. Since independence, the continent oscillates between two betrayed promises: that of authoritarian development, which has often enriched elites without freeing people, and that of formal democracy, often reduced to cosmetic elections unable to transform living conditions.

The Asian model fascinates — And right. South Korea, China, Rwanda itself, seem to prove that a firm hand can pull a country out of misery in a generation. But how many developmentalist dictatorships have actually kept their promise? For a Singapore, how many Zaire, Equatorial Guinea, Zimbabwe where the concentration of power only fed the clan at the top?

Conversely, the most stable African democracies — Senegal, Ghana, Botswana — However, the social emergency sometimes makes it unsustainable. Can a people be asked to celebrate freedom of expression when the nearest school is 15 kilometers away and the clinic no longer d'aspirin? Democracy without effective public services becomes an empty shell, an electoral ritual that does not change anything every day.

The real question, perhaps, is not to choose between these two options, but to refuse the blackmail which opposes them. Reform justice to protect both investment and citizens. Demand transparency not as a Western luxury, but as a tool of efficiency. Build strong institutions rather than strong men.

Baobab does not choose between its roots and its crown. He knows that without deep roots — dignity, justice, debate — No crown resists the first storm. But without a crown to capture the light — prosperity, infrastructure, employment — roots eventually dry up in sterile soil. The real political courage is to grow both at the same time.

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